What do we look for when we watch election returns? The progressive anti-Trump candidate just won the vote in Brazil. People around the world are celebrating, but are they through watching?
The last time, the fascists tried to overthrow the election. They’re still the same people. Will they try again?
More importantly, what will the Trumpsters in the U.S. do? They were accused of interfering in the election, and Trump himself made it clear he wanted the fascists to win. What will they do?
Keep an eye on Brazil, because it’s not over. Elections are just a step on a long stairway.
FILL IN THE BLANKS
Elections provide the most hard data about our political situation. It is hard to argue with numbers. Here are some of the things you might be able to figure out by watching returns on election night:
MEASURING NATIONAL CONCERN
Turnout figures give us the best information about whether people are concerned about this country. A big turnout would indicate that people care, a low turnout means they don’t.
How many eligible voters in the U.S.? 236M.
How many people registered to vote? 174M What percent of eligible voters registered? 73.6% How many people voted for one of the two choices? 154M What percent? 65.3%. The Democrat Presidential candidate got 48%, Republicans 50%
In Texas, Republicans won 56-42%.
IDEALISTS VERSUS MATERIALISTS
In the 2026 elections, it is tempting to categorize Democratic voters as “good” or “smart” and Republicans as ignorant or evil. One might also want to say that the Democrats are “for the people” and the Republican voters are for a reactionary system that serves only the rich. Such convenient pigeonholes may be misleading.
Marketing professors agree that people often, if not usually, make decisions on imaginary bases. In other words, voters may not be considering their material circumstances and the likelihood of improving with this or that party or candidate. They may be deciding because of any number of “push button” emotional issues. Religious people are especially susceptible, because they can talk themselves into anything.
Republicans in general are counting on racism to motivate voters. In Texas, Islamophobia and homophobia are central to many campaigns. Probably the best example in Texas is Bo French, Republican candidate for Railroad Commissioner, who has based his entire campaign on hate messages.
As election returns come in, the numbers do not reveal exactly what voters were thinking or feeling, but it would be a big mistake to think that voters have made their choices based on material circumstances or expectations. Exit polls may be the best source of information.
What indications are there that people voted on a material basis? What percent of them did?
VOTING BLOCS
How did Black voters vote? What about Hispanics? What about union members? Youth? Seniors? Most important, what about the working class as opposed to the owners and employers?
Except for exit polls, there is practically no official data by age groups. Texas seniors who vote by mail for each party can be found.
During the period leading up to November 3, 2026, we have seen strong efforts by unions, civil rights organizations, and leaders of various voting blocs. Some of them have numbers indicating the strength of their effort. How many calls were made? How many doors were knocked on? How many texts? How much money was spent by people’s organizations? How much was spent by the owners and employers?
Who voted Democrat in 2024? Male: 41%, Female,54%; White, 41%, Blacks 86%; Hispanic 54%
The New York Times says from 2020 to 2024, almost all groups shifted toward Trump.
Republicans took the senior vote in Texas 58-41%.
Youngest category of voters voted Democrat in 2024 by 53%, oldest category 49%. In general, the older the voter the more likely they were to vote Republican, BUT there’s an anomaly here because the second oldest category, 45-64, voted only 45% Democrat . In Texas, same anomaly: the 45-64 group voted Republican 59-39% while the oldest category vote was 41% Democrat.
INTEGRATION OF PROGRESSIVE FORCES
During the election period, alliances were made. How can we measure the extent to which the working class integrated itself into a single fighting force? What important alliances occurred?
As a long-time observer, I note that American unions made a turn in 1995 and became much more open to working with faith, community, and civil rights organizations. If we are to stand up to fascism, we will have to do it together; consequently, these alliances are critical.
The class division in the election is made apparent from the money raised and spent. Both of the capitalist parties have multi-million dollar donors, but the Republican campaigns exist on more billionaire money and fewer small contributions. Election laws require some disclosure of total amounts raised and total number of donors. James Talarico’s latest revelations show an average donation of about $100, while his opponent is getting his millions primarily from one person, Elon Musk. It’s a stark contrast!
How much was raised? How many donors were there?
CNN says $16B had been raised for the 2026 elections by 10/26/26. Republicans raised the most and got it from a limited number of big donors. Elon Musk has donated $400M that we know of to Republicans.
END OF THE TWO-PARTY YOKE?
Throughout the polling leading up to November 3, we have found voters saying that they are frustrated with the two choices that have held back American politics for generations. Is the mandatory 2-party system so bound to capitalism that the only way to end it is to end capitalism? How can we assess the possibilities of getting rid of the two party system?
How can we guess the number of people who no longer consider themselves a member of one of the two capitalist parties?
People who spoil their ballot or throw their vote away on hopeless parties have a category to themselves. They may not care what happens and are aggressive about it! Those numbers don’t tell us what we need to know.
How can we assess the possibilities of going beyond capitalism? Election night information may give us the help we need!
–Gene Lantz
I’m on knon.org and 89.3 FM in Dallas every Saturday at 9 AM Central. I publish on a number of platforms. Some of my most personal opinions are on http://lilleskole.us
















